USD/INR monthly bull and bear cycle analysis

USD/INR Big bull run:

Since 1973, USD/INR has come across 11 big bull runs for a maximum of 294.22% in 106 months and a low of 9.72% in 12 months. Additionally, there are 67% (one time), 44% (one time), 32-36% (3 times), 17-20% (2 times) and 9-12% (2 times) bull runs.

Time Cycle: During the big run, the currency has rallied for 106 months, 73 months and 52 months. However, the other bull run ranges are 7 months (one time), 10-12 months (2 times), 15-18 months (4 times) and 21 months (one time).
Further, from high to high the currency tops b/w 15-110 months, however, most often it has taken 20-40 months period.

So, by this, we can deduce that from bottom USD/INR may top in 7-21months. Nevertheless, if the bull run continues it may go beyond 52+ months. Also, during the bull run, one can expect a minimum of 10% move.

USD:INR_withlog_bigbull_09Dec17 USD:INR_withoutlog_bigbull_09Dec17

USD/INR big bear cycles:

There are 21%(one time), 13-17%(5 times), 8-9%(three times) and 11% (one time) big bear cycles.

Time cycle: During the bear run, USD/INR has bottomed within 66 months (1 time), 29 months (1 time), 20 months (1 time), 13 months (1 time) and 5-9 months (5 times)(excluding current cycle).

So, any correction in USD/INR may generally take USD/INR down by at least 8%.

Now, the high on 25/02/2016(68.909) and low on 2/08/2017(63.595) which was nearly an 8% fall in 18 month period. If the low of 63.595 breaks, the market may go further down.

Further, from time cycle most of the times market bottom between 20-44 months. So, if we consider current market still in the downtrend we may see a further downfall from 68.909 top and stock may bottom in January 2018 (44 months). However, if the bearishness continues means it may go until 82+ months.

USD:INR_withoutlog_bigbear_09Dec17 USD:INR_withlog_bigbear_09Dec17

DLF: Bull & Bear Cycle analysis

DLF Big bull cycle:

There are 70-79%(2 times), 102-113%*2 times), 134-150%(2 times) and 318%(1 time) big bull run in DLF.

Time cycle: From the bottom, the stock has topped within 5-10 months. Usually, from the top, the stock has taken 18-21 months.

Now, from the above, we can say that when the stock is in the bull run we can expect 70+% up move within 10 months.

Currently, the stock is in a bull run from 11th August 2017 (153) and reached top 234.90 with 54% increase, so now we can expect another 20%+ move within May 2018. However, if we absorb deeply the bottom on 11th August 2017 is similar to 10th August 2007 bottom. In 2007 the stock went up by 150% within 5 months and made the top on 14th January 2008. So, we may also see a trend reversal in January 2018 which will also be a 5-month bull run.

DLF_withlog_bigbull_02Dec17 DLF_withoutlog_bigbull_02Dec17

DLF big bear cycle:

There are 58-59%(three times), 40%(one times), 67% (one times) and 89%(onetime) bigger correction in DLF.

Time cycle: From the top, the stock has bottomed within 4-5 months (3 times), 12-13 months (two times), 32 months( one time).
Usually, from bottom to bottom the stock will take 14-16 months.

Now, from the above, we can say that whenever the stock is in correction/bear we can expect 40+% correction within 4-5 month period.

DLF_withoutlog_bigbear_03Dec17 DLF_withlog_bigbear_03Dec17

SBI bear & bull cycle analysis

SBI big bull run:

There are 398%(1 time), 294%(1 time), 162-186%(2 times), 105-136%(5 times), 78%(2 times) and 52-62%(2 times) big bull rally in SBIN stock.
Time cycle: Usually, the SBIN has topped within 4-5 months (5 times), 9-10(2 times), 13-17(2 times), 20-21(3 times) and 28 months(1 time) from the bottom. Also, high to high range from 9- 34 months.

From the above analysis, we can deduce that when SBIN is in bull run the stock may top within 28 months from the bottom and one can expect a minimum of 52+% move.

Currently, from 12th February 2016 bottom the stock has rallied for 136% and made the top on 26th October 2017, which is 20 months and from previous top i.e, Jan 2015 top to current top it comes around 33 months. So, as per time cycle, we may see a bull run trend reversal now. However, if bull continues the stock may top in May-June 2018 (28 months).

SBIN_withoutlog_bigbull_07Dec17 SBIN_withlog_bigbull_07Dec17

SBI Big bear cycle:

There are 32-34%(3 times), 40-44%(5 times), 47-49% (2 times), 53-55% (3 times) and 63% (1 times) bigger corrections in SBIN history.

Times Cycle:
During the correction, the stock has made a bottom in 1-3 months( 4 times), 5-7 months( 5 times), 10 months( one time) and 13-15 months (4 times). Further, usually from bottom to bottom the stock takes 9-34 months.

From the analysis, we can infer that whenever the stock is in correction we can expect a minimum correction of 32+% within 15 months.

SBIN_withlog_bigbear_07Dec17 SBIN_withoutlog_bigbear_07Dec17

Reliance Industries: When is the right time to invest?

Reliance Industries Big bull cycle:

Initially, the big bull run period used to be in the range of 12,15,16 & 18 (12-18 months) with an increase of minimum 128% to max of 372% (4 times). And there is one big cycle for 44 months for 1040% move. However, there also used to be sub period of 3-4 months for 40-70% move(4 times). So, we can infer that whenever the bull rally exceeds beyond 4 months, we can expect at-least 120+% move within next 12 months.

Typically, the high to high took 10-13 months(3 times), 17-18 months (2 times), 27-28 months (2 times). Nevertheless, two times the stock took 45 and 60 months.

Now, from March 2015 bottom the stock has rallied for 32 months (142%) and 42 months from May 2014 top till now. So there is a possibility of top in 45th month i.,e Jan-Feb 2018, but if the bull run continues the stock may rally till Nov 2018-Apr 2019 (44-60 months).

Relianceindustries_withlog_bigbull_05Dec17 Relianceindustries_withoutlog_bigbull_05Dec17

Reliance Industries big bear cycle:

Generally, the stock correction period ranges from 5-9 months(4 times) for 69%, 54%, 51%, 36% and sharp correction for 1-3 months (5 times) for 35%, 38%, 41%, 47%, 62%. So, whenever the stock is in correction one can expect a minimum fall of 35+% within 9 months.

Also, Whenever the stock has rallied for more than 300+% it end up being corrected for 70+% within 12 months and this has happened two times in the history (1997 & 2008).

Typically, low to low range from 18-20 months(4 times), 43 and 53 months once. So, 20 months from March 2015 bottom will be November 2011 which as a small bottom and 20 months from here the stock may bottom again, which will be in June-July 2018. However, if the current bull run continues the cycle may enter 43 or 53 month period which extends to October 2018 to August 2019 for next bottom.

Relianceindustries_withoutlog_bigbear_05Dec17 Relianceindustries_withlog_bigbear_05Dec17

Axis Bank bull & bear monthly cycle analysis 1

Axis Bank Big bear cycle:

There are 78%(one time), 61%(one time), 51%(two times), 43%(one times) and 33-34% big bear cycle in Axis bank.

Time cycle: From top the stock has bottomed within 14-15 months (2 times), 8-10 months(2 times), 3-4 months(3 times).

Now, from this we can deduce that when the stock is in bigger correction (big cycle) we can expect 50+% correction within 15 months. There are smaller corrections for 33-44% within 4 months.


Axis Bank Big bull run:

There are 808%(one time), 477-487%(two time), 305-355%(three times), 74-97%(two times) big bull run in Axis bank.

Time cycle: From bottom the stock has topped within 19-22 months(5 times), 28 month(1 time), 16 month(1 time), and 8 month(1 time).

Now, from this we can deduce that when the stock is in bull run we can expect 74+% up move within 22 months.

Currently, if we consider the bull run from 18th January 2016( 366.75) the market has topped on 7th Sept 2016 with 74% up move and still the same bull run is continuing means the stock may top within March 2018 which will be 36 or 18 months from top to top.

However, November 2017 being 22 months from January 2016 which is usual bull run period for Axis bank, we may see a trend reversal from December 2017.



Bangalore Gann Seminar on Upcoming Cycles, Saturday, July 15

Banglore Seminar 15 July 17_call 9005979886
Dear Trader,

We are conducting the WD Gann Cycle Workshop for Timing and Trading 4 Equity/Stocks, one Gold, one Silver on 15th July 2017 (Saturday) at Bangalore.

Course Fees is inclusive of Tax, Delicious Lunch, Tea Snacks, Stationery

Benefits of this seminar
•Cycles costing 90,000 each available at 15,000 till 5th july, after 5th July 20,000. (we teach one cycle for 10,000 and in this seminar you will learn 9 cycles)
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•Gann Entry and Exit technique applicable to other Strategies
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•Back testing to show the percentage of accuracy of these cycles
 *Cycle- To know what a cycle is referred here please read the following link this will also help to solve other queries-
Fees: 15,000
Date: 15 July 17

Time: 10 am to 6 pm


High Calibre League, Above KFC, TRINE House, Kammanahalli Main Rd,HRBR Layout 3rd Block,Kalyan Nagar, HRBR Layout, Bangalore, 560043
Location is 33 Kms away from Kempegowda international airport. 1 hour drive from airport. Instead on entering inside the jammed city you will have hassle free reaching. Bangalore locals will have to drive 10-15 Kms to reach the venue.

Landmark: Near Kotak Mahindra Bank

You can register your seat by making payment @ 

Bank details

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Axis Bank,

Account No. 912010058534970

IFSC Code: UTIB0001879

Feedback of past Mumbai Seminar-

You may also call at 9005 979 886 for any queries or email to to confirm your participation.


Ruchir Gupta

WD Gann Cycles Power in Silver, Crude, Nifty, All Ords, Infosys, Tata Steel Tata Motars

WD Gann Cycles power in Silver, Crude, Nifty, All Ords, Infosys, Tata Steel Tata Motars

WD Gann Time Cycles: My trades in Crude, Silver, Nifty, Infosys, Tata Steel, Tata Motars and Australian Index. In this video I have shared the summary of my recent educational sessions on Technical Analysis (Gann Cycles were not disclosed). I invite every one to Join my Single Cycle Courses Which will close after some time and Combo Cycle Packs will be available there after.

Ideally you should try to learn cycles with high accuracy and big moves, which are coming in near future whether they be in Nifty, Bank Nifty, Gold, Crude, Silver, Stocks, Aluminium, Copper, Zinc, Cottom, Crude Palm Oil, Wheat, Bajra, Corn, Soy Beans, Currencies such as GBP/USD, JPY/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/JPY and other Currency pairs.

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100% Accurate WD Gann Planetary Time Cycles

MCX Crude Oil to see fall as per Gann Time Cycle Study of April 2017

MCX Crude Oil to see fall as per Gann Time Cycle Study of April 2017

As per our WD Gann Time Cycle Analysis Crude can fall atleast 10% from the present high of 3,478, the fall is expected to continue for more than a month as per my study. I am watching 3,060 levels in April 2017 Futures, though I have positions in May 2017 Futures .

In the attached youtube Video I have mentioned 2,900 and 2,700 as further targets.

I have kept my stop above the high of 12th April 2017, 3,478 in April futures and 3515 in May Futures.

Crude has also made a double top @ 3,478 which is a technical confirmation of Gann study.

Crude Oil 13 April 2017 WD Gann Analysis


Crude Oil Analysis Course (Gann Methods)

WD Gann Cycle predicts fall in Infosys Technologies

WD Gann Cycle predicts fall in Infosys Technologies

Infosys Technologies has started correcting as I was anticipating in recent past as my WD Gann cycles indicated a fall in this Stock.

INFY might atleast correct 12% from its near top of 1040, which may bring it near 920. Price rangle of 920 to 900 is also a range projected by previous declines. So, Infosys may reach 920 to 900 in near future.


INFY WD Gann Analysis


If INFY breaks the previous bottom of Rs 902 then its lower targets could be 840 to 810, which came from the joining the bottoms of 2009 and 2013. Also a Channel joining the tops of 2010 and 2016 when projected from 2013 bottom come in range of 810 to 840.

Time Target: As per my WD Gann Cycles the fall may bring the above targets in 20-25 days.

WD Gann Analysis on Australian Equity Index and Nifty for coming months 1


Australian Markets: As per my WD Gann Analysis and Study of Time Cycles, Australian All ordinaries Index (XAO) is going to fall till at least 17 April 2017. To complete the fall of 10% the time might extend till June 2017. My Time Cycles indicate the intensity of fall is going to be severe and the index might fall 5- 15%. I would say it will very easily fall 550- 600 points. The support zone is 5300 to 5220. Which is 10% below the present high of 5880 of Australian Equity Index.

  • Time Target: Fall will be atleast till 17 April 2017, might extend to June 2017, it 10% fall is not completed by April 2017.
  • Price Target: The recent retracements have been 10% in XAO (All Ordinaries) and one of the recent fall was 20%, so all the ranges cluster around 10% and 50% of 20% is also 10% so good support lies in the range of 5300 to 5220.

I came across this analysis while teaching a WD Gann Analysis Course to one of my Australian Student, the research was in-depth so I am very sure of my analysis. Please refer to the chart as they are just for educational purpose only.

XAO - Primary Analysis - Mar-22 1431 PM (1 week)

Indian Markets: As per my WD Gann Analysis and Study of Time Cycles, Indian indexes Nifty and Sensex will also fall, however the severity will not like be Australian All Ordinaries Index. Indian Indexes might also bear the brunt of global melt down and could fall till 20 April 2017. Falling from 9210 to 8800, will be only 400 points correction or 4.5% correction as compared to Australian Index as I feel that Indian Nifty should outperform Australian Index.

  • Support: 8792 to 8833 is the support zone for Nifty
  • Time Target: Fall shall continue atleast till 20 April

NIFTY - Alternate 5 - Mar-22 1452 PM (1 day)


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